Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.24% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.