Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.