Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 76.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 7.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.18%) and 3-0 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.