UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 16, 2024 at 5pm UK

Baumit Arena

Georgia
1 - 1
Ukraine

Mikautadze (76')
Lochoshvili (31'), Gocholeishvili (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kverkvelia (7' og.)
Zubkov (3'), Shaparenko (52'), Mykolenko (82'), Mudryk (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Georgia and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Georgia 0-1 Albania
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Ukraine

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Czech Republic
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic	0	0	0
3	Georgia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Georgia win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Ukraine
33.87% ( 0.1)	24.89% ( -0.01)	41.24% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.07)

45.57% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.07)

67.9% (

-0.07)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

0.09)

26.01% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

0.12)

61.03% (

-0.13)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.02)

22.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

-0.02)

55.41% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Georgia 33.87%

Ukraine 41.24%

Draw 24.88%

Georgia	Draw	Ukraine
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 33.87%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.24%