Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Gambia
1 - 2
Comoros

Jatta (18')
Manneh (61'), Touray (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Said (25'), Maolida (90')
M'Changama (40'), Youssouf (90'), Youssouf (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Comoros
34.17% ( -0.56)	28.77% ( -0.04)	37.06% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 45.46% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.92% (

0.11)

61.08% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.94% (

0.08)

81.05% (

-0.08)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

-0.32)

33.51% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-0.35)

70.15% (

0.35)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

0.44)

31.62% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

0.5)

68.03% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Gambia 34.16%

Comoros 37.06%

Draw 28.75%

Gambia	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.16%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.06%