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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
Galatasaray

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Galatasaray

Bertolacci (69')
Pesic (35'), Bertolacci (69'), Eggen Hedenstad (78'), Durmaz (82'), Erkin (83'), Ugur (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mohamed (88')
Kutlu (47'), Akturkoglu (65'), Terim (83'), Nelsson (90+6')

Preview: Fatih Karagumruk vs. Galatasaray - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Galatasaray square off against Fatih Karagumruk on Sunday afternoon looking to further close the gap on the top two in the Super Lig table.

However, defeat for the Turkish giants at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium would see their hosts move ahead of them in the standings.


Match preview

Galatasaray coach Fatih Terim reacts on September 30, 2021© Reuters

There was a time not so long ago when Galatasaray were languishing in the mid-table positions, missing an opportunity to put the pressure on their rivals who were also showing signs of inconsistency.

However, four wins from five have changed the mood at Nef Stadyumu, moving Galatasaray to within seven points of unbeaten frontrunners Trabzonspor.

At a time when they are also unbeaten in the Europa League group stages, Fatih Terim can only be positive about the remainder of the season and their search for silverware.

While defeat at Besiktas is still fresh in the memory, the 2-0 triumph over Gaziantep FK has kept the pressure on the clubs below the leaders.

Olimpiu Morutan netted his third goal of the season during that contest, making it three players who now sit at the top of the scoring charts.

Despite Galatasaray being one of the form teams in the division, Karagumruk will fancy their chances of causing an upset on Sunday.

Last week's defeat to Kayserispor was a consequence of going down to 10 men with 29 minutes remaining, the home side's winning goal coming in the final minute.

Before that contest, Karagumruk had collected 10 points from a possible 12, the only dropped points coming in a 1-1 draw against second-placed Hatayspor.

Although they remain down in eighth position, Francesco Farioli will only be looking at the clubs above his team, a sign of the trajectory that the Black Red have been on in recent times.

One negative is the goals beginning to dry up in the final third, Karagumruk failing to score more than once in their last four outings.

Fatih Karagumruk Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Galatasaray Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Galatasaray form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Karagumruk will be without Derrick Luckassen after the right-back was dismissed during the defeat at Kayserispor.

However, Vegar Eggen Hedenstad, whose place he had taken in that game, is back from serving his own suspension.

Erhun Oztumer and Yann Karamoh are pushing for a return to the team in midfield.

Sofiane Feghouli will hope to retain his place on the right flank for Galatasaray after scoring on his return to the team in midweek.

Nevertheless, Terim only made one alteration for that fixture, and it would not come as a surprise if he introduced some fresh legs.

The form of centre-back Victor Nelsson will likely see Christian Luyindama having to remain patient on the substitutes' bench.

Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Hedenstad, Bekaroglu, Zukanovic, Erkin; Borini, Oztumer, Biglia, Bertolacci, Karamoh; Pesic

Galatasaray possible starting lineup:
Muslera; Yedlin, Marcao, Nelsson, Van Aanholt; Akturkoglu, Morutan, Kutlu, Cicaldau, Feghouli; Dervisoglu


SM words green background

We say: Fatih Karagumruk 1-3 Galatasaray

Having now found their groove on both the domestic and European stage, it is difficult to write off Galatasaray. Karagumruk have the quality to capitalise on any tiredness, but we are backing the visitors to run out convincing winners.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Galatasaray

Fatih Karagumruk
8.3%
Draw
25.0%
Galatasaray
66.7%
12
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33293177215690
2Fenerbahce33275187305786
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor331741256431355
4BesiktasBesiktas33156124438651
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul33147124438649
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor33146134349-648
7KasimpasaKasimpasa33137135559-446
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor331112104346-345
10SivassporSivasspor331112104045-545
11Adana Demirspor33914104944541
12Samsunspor33109143743-639
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33813124043-337
14KayserisporKayserispor331010133747-1037
15KonyasporKonyaspor33812133447-1336
16GaziantepGaziantep3397173750-1334
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor33712143746-933
19Pendikspor3379173768-3130
RIstanbulspor3347222661-3516


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