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Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Turk Telekom Arena

Galatasaray
2 - 0
Karagumruk

Gomis (4' pen.), Babel (12')
Nelsson (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dursun (45+2'), Luckassen (68')

Preview: Galatasaray vs. Fatih Karagumruk - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

What has been nothing short of an abysmal Super Lig campaign for Galatasaray will continue this weekend, when the reigning champions welcome Fatih Karagumruk to the Nef Stadyumu.

Remarkably, Galatasaray are not yet clear from the threat of relegation, with an unlikely demotion into the second tier still possible for the Lions.


Match preview

Galatasaray's Marcao celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 17, 2022© Reuters

Comfortably the worst Galatasaray season in living memory, the Turkish giants have struggled from the off and enter the final few matches of the campaign in danger of going down.

While the points difference between themselves and the bottom three sits at a comfortable nine points for now, any future slip-ups between now and the end of the campaign could prove costly for their Super Lig status.

Results have been shocking for Galatasaray this season, with a surprise defeat to Gaziantep last time out yet another depressing footnote in a torrid campaign.

It now means that the Lions have lost more games than they have won this season, and should they fail to win another game, it will be the lowest number of victories that Galatasaray have achieved in a top-flight campaign since 1981-82.

Granted, the chances of Galatasaray failing to pick up another three points are slim, especially given their wider form in recent weeks.

Just two defeats in their last seven league outings has helped aid Galatasaray's situation somewhat, having lost the previous four matches prior to that.

Improving on a wretched home record will be the Lions' first port of call, as they have won only two of the last eight across all competitions at the Nef Stadyumu.

Hoping to extend that troublesome run will be a Fatih Karagumruk side who are eyeing up a top-half finish come the end of the season.

Sitting pretty in ninth, five points separate Fatih Karagumruk and Saturday's opponents, with a victory likely to take them to within touching distance of the European places.

While a continental berth is unlikely for Fatih Karagumruk this season, the Black-Red will take confidence from their unbeaten record against Galatasaray during their top-flight meetings so far.

Played three, drawn two and won one reads the Black-Red's record against Galatasaray in the Super Lig, with another points-scoring match-up the target for Fatih Karagumruk on Saturday.

Galatasaray Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Galatasaray form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Fatih Karagumruk Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Fatih Karagumruk form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Galatasaray coach Domenec Torrent reacts on March 17, 2022© Reuters

As torrid as their season has been, Galatasaray cannot have any excuses heading into the final few months, as a close to full squad remains available for manager Domenec Torrent.

The only absentee for this weekend's clash is forward Mbaye Diagne, who is recovering from a hip problem.

It means that striker Bafetimbi Gomis will likely lead the line for the Lions once again, with duo Emre Kilinc and Berkan Kutlu providing creativity from midfield.

As for the visitors, their injury list is a little more troublesome, with three first-team regulars absent for the trip to Istanbul.

Fatih Karagumruk will be without Kerim Frei for Saturday's clash as the midfielder recovers from a niggle, whereas a back injury is keeping Fabio Borini on the sidelines for now.

Elsewhere, defender Rayyan Baniya continues to nurse a muscle problem, and midfielder Burak Bekaroglu is unavailable due to suspension.

Galatasaray possible starting lineup:
Muslera; Van Aanholt, Marcao, Nelsson, Kaya; Kutlu, Antalyali; Kilinc, Morutan, Akturkoglu; Gomis

Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Dursun, Biraschi, Erdem, Balkovec; Biglia, Toure, Bistrovic; Durmaz, Mor, Pesic


SM words green background

We say: Galatasaray 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

While history may be beckoning for Galatasaray, and not particularly for the right reasons, relegation still remains an entirely unlikely prospect.

Being said, the Lions have struggled to win the games expected of them this season, and they could be in for a difficult afternoon on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Karagumruk

Galatasaray
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fatih Karagumruk
20.0%
10
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce33275187305786
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor331741256431355
4BesiktasBesiktas33156124438651
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul33147124438649
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor33146134349-648
7KasimpasaKasimpasa33137135559-446
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor331112104346-345
10SivassporSivasspor331112104045-545
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12Samsunspor33109143743-639
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33813124043-337
14KayserisporKayserispor331010133747-1037
15KonyasporKonyaspor33812133447-1336
16GaziantepGaziantep3397173750-1334
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor33712143746-933
19Pendikspor3379173768-3130
RIstanbulspor3347222661-3516


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