Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Moskva win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.56% and a win for Volga Ulyanovsk had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%) , while for a Volga Ulyanovsk win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.