Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Moskva win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Volga Ulyanovsk had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Volga Ulyanovsk win was 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.