Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leningradets win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Volga Ulyanovsk had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leningradets win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Volga Ulyanovsk win was 1-0 (10.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.