Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Volga Ulyanovsk win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Altay had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Volga Ulyanovsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Altay win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.