Club Friendlies 3
Feb 22, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Al Lang Stadium
  • 1' goal

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sarasota Paradise - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 11.00pm
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3 - 0 Naples

Sarasota Paradise

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 6.00pm
Rhode Island 2 - 1 Sarasota Paradise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.52% and a win for Sarasota Paradise had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%) , while for a Sarasota Paradise win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Tampa Bay Rowdies 57.16%
Draw 22.52%
Sarasota Paradise 20.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.29% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.65%
Under 2.5 41.35%
Over 3.5 36.77% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.23% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 24.11% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.89% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies 37.26%
Draw 40.68%
Sarasota Paradise 22.06%

Team To Score First

Tampa Bay Rowdies 59.59% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.5% (-0.01)
Sarasota Paradise 33.91% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.02%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 34.24%
Over 9 42.41%
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 45.98%
Over 10.5 31.86%
Under 10.5 68.14%

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 1.5 56.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 43.45% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 31.27% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 68.73% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 15.37%
Under 3.5 84.63%

Sarasota Paradise Goals

Over 0.5 55.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.76% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.24% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.39% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies 57.17%
Draw 22.52%
Sarasota Paradise 20.31%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-1 @ 9.76%
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 15.28%
Total : 57.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 22.52%
Sarasota Paradise
1-2 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.3% (-0.02)
Total : 20.31%