Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.52% and a win for Sarasota Paradise had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%) , while for a Sarasota Paradise win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.