Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.65% and a win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.