Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2026 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Edu Espiau 45'+3' goal
  • Vladislavs Gutkovskis 52' goal
  • Sebastian Kerk 68' yellowcard
  • Marc Navarro 68' yellowcard
  • Aurélien Nguiamba 79' yellowcard
  • Dawid Gojny 79' yellowcard
  • goal Damian Hilbrycht 12'
  • yellowcard Andrzej Trubeha 46'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Jakubik 66'
  • goal Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz 74'
  • yellowcard Ivan Durdov 89'
  • goal Ivan Durdov 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Milosz Matysik 90'+5'

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 13, 2026 5.00pm
Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 Gornik
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Vladislavs Gutkovskis

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
Nieciecza 0 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Kamil Zapolnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nieciecza win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nieciecza win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 2-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Arka Gdynia 36.78% (-4.01)
Draw 26.2% (+0.09)
Nieciecza 37.02% (+3.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.42% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.3% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 21.7% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 55.5% (-1.26)
Under 2.5 44.5% (+1.26)
Over 3.5 33.86% (-1.08)
Under 3.5 66.15% (+1.10)
Over 4.5 18.67% (-1.13)
Under 4.5 81.33% (+1.13)

First Half Winner

Arka Gdynia 31.91% (-0.57)
Draw 41.99% (+0.27)
Nieciecza 26.1% (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Arka Gdynia 49.67% (-0.68)
No Goal 5.91% (+0.18)
Nieciecza 44.42% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 63.46% (+1.79)
Equal 8 10.79% (-0.18)
Under 8 25.75% (-1.61)
Over 9 51.97% (+1.79)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.54% (-1.79)
Over 10.5 40.76% (+1.66)
Under 10.5 59.24% (-1.66)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 1.5 40.79% (-3.68)
Under 1.5 59.21% (+3.68)
Over 2.5 17.01% (-3.00)
Under 2.5 82.99% (+3.00)
Over 3.5 6.15% (-1.56)
Under 3.5 93.85% (+1.56)

Nieciecza Goals

Over 0.5 72.52% (+2.65)
Under 0.5 27.48% (-2.65)
Over 1.5 40.25% (+2.48)
Under 1.5 59.75% (-2.48)
Over 2.5 17.22% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 82.78% (-1.50)
Over 3.5 5.57% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 94.43% (-0.53)

Score analysis

Arka Gdynia 36.78%
Draw 26.2%
Nieciecza 37.02%
Arka Gdynia
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.50)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.31)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.35)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.71)
Other @ 5.72% (-1.49)
Total : 36.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.91% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.43% (-0.09)
Total : 26.2%
Nieciecza
1-2 @ 8.51% (+0.63)
0-1 @ 8.1% (+0.92)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.74)
1-3 @ 4.37% (+0.44)
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.57% (+0.39)
Other @ 5.14% (+0.61)
Total : 37.02%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT