Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nieciecza win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nieciecza win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 2-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.