Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2026 6.00pm
Stadion Miejski

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 13, 2026 5.00pm
Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 Gornik
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
Nieciecza 0 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Kamil Zapolnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arka Gdynia win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Nieciecza has a probability of 33.09% and a draw has a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arka Gdynia win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Nieciecza win is 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Arka Gdynia 40.79% (+0.08)
Draw 26.11% (-0.22)
Nieciecza 33.09% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.73% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.1% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 20.9% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 56.76% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 43.24% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 34.94% (+1.33)
Under 3.5 65.06% (-1.33)
Over 4.5 19.8% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 80.2% (-0.65)

First Half Winner

Arka Gdynia 32.48% (+1.71)
Draw 41.73% (+0.17)
Nieciecza 25.8% (-1.88)

Team To Score First

Arka Gdynia 50.35% (+0.76)
No Goal 5.73% (-0.14)
Nieciecza 43.92% (-0.62)

Corners

Over 8 61.68% (+0.18)
Equal 8 10.96% (-0.50)
Under 8 27.36% (+0.33)
Over 9 50.18% (+0.69)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.52)
Under 9 38.32% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 39.1% (+1.13)
Under 10.5 60.9% (-1.13)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 1.5 44.46% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 55.54% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 20.01% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 79.99% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 7.71% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 92.29% (-0.35)

Nieciecza Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 30.13% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 37.77% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 62.23% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 15.72% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 84.28% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 5.04% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 94.96% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Arka Gdynia 40.79%
Draw 26.11%
Nieciecza 33.11%
Arka Gdynia
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.43)
2-0 @ 6.24% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.11)
Other @ 7.2% (+0.29)
Total : 40.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 6.6% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.51% (+0.08)
Total : 26.11%
Nieciecza
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.38)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.56% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.94% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 4.53% (+0.17)
Total : 33.11%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT