Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IMT Novi Beograd win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Mladost Lucani had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a IMT Novi Beograd win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%) , while for a Mladost Lucani win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.