Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.