Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.