Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zemplin Michalovce win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zemplin Michalovce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.