Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 2-1 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.