Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbru win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbru win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Zemplin Michalovce win was 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.