Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Olympiacos
48.38% ( 0.62)	22.22% ( 0)	29.4% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 65.17% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.18% (

-0.4)

34.82% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.21% (

-0.45)

56.79% (

0.45)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.15% (

0.06)

14.85% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.83% (

0.12)

43.18% (

-0.12)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.58)

23.47% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

-0.84)

57.49% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Ajax 48.38%

Olympiacos 29.4%

Draw 22.22%

Ajax	Draw	Olympiacos
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 48.38%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.4%