Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Carlos Borges 43' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 80' yellowcard

Ajax vs Olympiacos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 5.30pm
Ajax 2 - 1 Al-Wasl

Olympiacos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 48.38% (+0.63)
Draw 22.22% (+0.01)
Olympiacos 29.4% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.17% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.18% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 34.82% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 43.21% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 56.79% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 24.78% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 75.22% (+0.38)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 85.15% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 14.85% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 56.83% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 43.18% (-0.13)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 76.53% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 23.47% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 42.52% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 57.49% (+0.85)

Score analysis

Ajax 48.38%
Draw 22.22%
Olympiacos 29.4%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.65% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.34% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.03% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.78% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 48.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.49% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.22%
Olympiacos
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.4%