Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Al-Wasl had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Al-Wasl win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.