/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Franlog.png)
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Kian Fitz-Jim
28'
-
Branco van den Boomen
40'
-
Jorrel Hato
78'
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Benjamin Tahirovic
86'
-
Tom Lawrence
33'
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Nicolas Raskin
39'
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Tom Lawrence
57'
-
Ross McCausland
86'
Ajax vs Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result
Ajax
43.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
21.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Rangers
35.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
71.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.04%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
27.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
51.31%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
48.68%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
31.96%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
68.04%
▲
(+0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
86.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
13.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
58.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
41.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5
82.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
17.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
52.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
47.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Ajax
43.4%
Draw
21.39%
Rangers
35.2%
Ajax
2-1
@
8.18%
▲
(+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 43.4%
3-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1
@
8.3%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.39%
2-2 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.39%
Rangers
1-2
@
7.32%
1-3 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 35.2%
1-3 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 35.2%