Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Rangers
43.4% ( 0.01)	21.39% ( 0)	35.2% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 71.32% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.04% (

-0.02)

27.95% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.31% (

-0.03)

48.68% (

0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06% (

-0.01)

13.93% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.6% (

-0.01)

41.4% (

0.01)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87% (

-0.02)

17.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.65% (

-0.03)

47.34% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ajax 43.4%

Rangers 35.2%

Draw 21.39%

Ajax	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.39%	1-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.2%