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Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Freiburg
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukebakio (52')

Preview: Freiburg vs. Hertha Berlin - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Freiburg take on Hertha Berlin in the Bundesliga on Sunday with the hosts looking for their third successive win in the space of a week.

Hertha, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last four matches, but will be looking for a win to overtake their opponents in the table.


Match preview

Freiburg head coach Christian Streich pictured on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Having failed to win any of their previous 10 league matches, Freiburg fans would have been concerned about their team's gradual slide towards the relegation places.

However, two 2-0 wins against sides in the bottom three - Arminia Bielefeld on Saturday and Schalke 04 on Wednesday - have arrested any fears of joining them any time soon, with a seven-point gap now opened up to Arminia in the relegation playoff position.

However, Christian Streich will be imploring his players not to rest on their laurels, with ending the calendar year in a top-half position a possibility if they can beat Hertha on Sunday.

With Roland Sallai seemingly back in form after bagging a brace in the win at Schalke, their chances of doing so have certainly increased, with the Hungary winger providing the pace and penetration which Streich's side have lacked in some matches this season.

Hertha Berlin manager Bruno Labbadia pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Hertha, meanwhile, were beginning to look over their shoulders, too, after taking just four points from seven matches at one point in the campaign.

However, an impressive 0-0 draw at league leaders Bayer Leverkusen was backed up by a crucial derby win over Union Berlin as well as another unexpected point at Borussia Monchengladbach.

Despite building a small unbeaten run, Bruno Labbadia will have been disappointed with his side only drawing 0-0 at home to struggling Mainz 05 on Tuesday, though. It was a truly dire game, too, with zero shots on target from either side.

Hertha struggled to break down the disciplined visitors, who did not even start their top goalscorer Jean-Phillipe Mateta. After conceding 18 goals in their first eight league matches, Labbadia has clearly successfully tightened the defence, but is understandably struggling to find the right balance with the goals drying up since.

Freiburg Bundesliga form: LLDDWW

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form: WLDWDD


Team News

Hertha Berlin's Peter Pekarik scores against Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on December 4, 2020© Reuters

Freiburg are without Mark Flekken and Janik Haberer due to injury, with Kwon Chang-hoon unavailable due to coronavirus.

Lucas Holer will be hoping to return to the starting XI having only been used from the substitutes' bench in Wednesday's win at Schalke, with Sallai likely to keep his place after a match-winning performance.

Hertha remain without summer signing Jhon Cordoba with a ligament injury, while Santiago Ascacibar is also still on the sidelines with a muscle problem.

Peter Pekarik, Vladimir Darida and Dodi Lukebakio are likely to return to the side having been rested in the midweek stalemate with Mainz.

Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Muller; Lienhart, Schlotterbeck, Gulde; Schmid, Santamaria, Hofler, Gunter; Sallai, Holer, Grifo

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Pekarik, Boyata, Torunarigha, Plattenhardt; Stark, Guendouzi; Lukebakio, Darida, Cunha; Piatek


SM words green background

We say: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin

There is little doubt that Hertha possess the greater offensive quality, but they often struggle against disciplined defensive units such as Freiburg.

With both sides currently four games unbeaten, we can envisage both managers being content with avoiding defeat ahead of the winter break.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hertha Berlin

Freiburg
47.5%
Draw
34.4%
Hertha Berlin
18.0%
61
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Hertha Berlin's Peter Pekarik scores against Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on December 4, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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