Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.