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Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Jun 20, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Castelao
Fluminense

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Fluminense

Robson (69')
Tinga (54'), Henrique (78'), Romarinho (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paulista (56')

Preview: Fortaleza vs. Fluminense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to preserve their unbeaten starts to the new league season, Fortaleza and Fluminense go head-to-head at the Estadio Castelao on Sunday.

The home side currently occupy top spot on the log after four rounds of matches, with the visitors four places below in fifth.


Match preview

Fluminense manager Roger Machado on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Fluminense picked up a second 1-0 home victory on the trot after seeing off the threat of Santos at the Estadio do Maracana on Thursday.

The deadlock was broken five minutes into the second half as Nene opened his account for the season with a well-taken finish.

Roger Machado's men have a perfect record on home turf, but their performances on the road often leave much to be desired.

Po de Arroz have failed to win any of their three away games in all competitions and are facing elimination from the Copa do Brasil in the third round after a first-leg 2-1 loss to Red Bull Bragantino on June 10.

Fortaleza were denied a fourth straight win in all competitions following a goalless draw against Atletico Goianiense on Thursday.

Juan Pablo Vojvoda's men were a tad lucky to come away with a point in a game where they were dominated for the majority.

While that stalemate brought an end to the Clube da Garotada's 100% start to the season, they still hold a two-point lead over second-placed Athletico Paranaense, albeit having played an extra game.

Saturday's hosts are yet to win any of their last four clashes against the visitors, suffering defeats home and away in the last campaign.

The current Brasileiro leaders have also failed to find the back of the net in those meetings but will back themselves to end that run with eight goals scored already in their four outings this term.

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D


Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Fluminense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Fluminense form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Fluminense's Fred celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 12, 2021© Reuters

Fortaleza's Wellington Paulista has scored in each of his last three home matches, including the winner in a 1-0 triumph over Sport Recife on Monday.

Despite regularly lining up in defence, Yago Pikachu has chipped in with three goals in four league outings and leads the way for his side in that aspect.

John Kennedy and Hudson are yet to feature for the visitors this term as they are sidelined with knee and hamstring injuries respectively.

Marcos Felipe has been magnificent in goal for Fluminense, and he made eight saves last time out en route to his fourth clean sheet of the season.

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Alves; Titi, Conceicao, Tinga; Carlinhos, Felipe, Lourenco, Pikachu; De Vargas, Romarinho, Paulista

Fluminense possible starting lineup:
Marcos; Egidio, Claro, Manoel, Calegari; Yago, Martinelli, Nene; Paulista, Fred, Teixeira


SM words green background

We say: Fortaleza 1-1 Fluminense

The contest could swing either way, as both teams have flown out of the blocks with aplomb. We are anticipating an open and end-to-end affair with the points split in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 44.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Fluminense

Fortaleza
38.1%
Draw
38.1%
Fluminense
23.8%
21
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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