Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.83%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 7.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (11.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.