UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland
0 - 2
Greece

Pikkarainen (4'), Alho (10'), Ivanov (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakasetas (52'), Tzolis (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Finland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Greece

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Greece 0-3 England
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Greece had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Greece
38.36% ( 1)	26.29% ( 0.13)	35.36% ( -1.13)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

-0.61)

51.48% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71% (

-0.53)

73.29% (

0.53)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.28)

26.2% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7% (

0.37)

61.3% (

-0.37)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.06% (

-0.96)

27.94% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

-1.24)

63.57% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Finland 38.36%

Greece 35.36%

Draw 26.29%

Finland	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.36%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.36%