FA Cup
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Southport

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Southport has a probability of 29.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Southport win is 1-2 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Morecambe 47.07% (-0.04)
Draw 23.5% (-0.18)
Southport 29.43% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.18% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.63% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 21.37% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 55.96% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 44.04% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 32.09% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 67.91% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 19.18% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 80.82% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 36.83% (-0.18)
Draw 39.76% (-0.28)
Southport 23.42% (+0.46)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 53.9% (-1.18)
No Goal 5.74% (-0.17)
Southport 40.36% (+1.34)

Corners

Over 8 62.28% (+2.90)
Equal 8 11.05% (+0.08)
Under 8 26.67% (-2.97)
Over 9 50.6% (+2.56)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.36)
Under 9 37.72% (-2.90)
Over 10.5 39.3% (+2.00)
Under 10.5 60.7% (-2.00)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 46.88% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 53.12% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 22.72% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 77.28% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 8.79% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 91.21% (-0.36)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 64.34% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 35.66% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 33.06% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 66.94% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 12.77% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 87.23% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 4.35% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 95.65% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Morecambe 47.08%
Draw 23.5%
Southport 29.43%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.9% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.13)
Other @ 8.47% (+0.24)
Total : 47.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.13)
Total : 23.5%
Southport
1-2 @ 7.28% (+0.34)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.03% (+0.16)
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Adam Moseley 25' goal
  • Luke Griffiths 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ogwuru 84' goal
  • Daniel Ogwuru 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Newby 20'
  • goal Elliot Newby 81'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 7.30pm
TBC