FA Cup
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Salford City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salford City win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 33.5% and a draw has a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 2-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.92%).

Result

Carlisle United 33.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.28%
Salford City 43.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.13%
Under 2.5 39.87%
Over 3.5 37.94%
Under 3.5 62.06%
Over 4.5 23.46%
Under 4.5 76.54%

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 27.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 41.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Salford City 31.62%

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 44.87% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.05%
Salford City 50.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.91%
Equal 8 10.42%
Under 8 26.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 51.87%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 37.09%
Over 10.5 41.08%
Under 10.5 58.92%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.03%
Under 3.5 93.97%

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 75.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.63%
Under 2.5 77.37%
Over 3.5 9.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 33.5%
Draw 23.28%
Salford City 43.21%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 7.39%
1-0 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.45%
Other @ 5.81%
Total : 33.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.28%
Salford City
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.21%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 14'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 56'
League Two Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Stephen Wearne 16' goal
  • Matthew Dennis 17' goal
  • Terell Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Georgie Kelly 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Stockton 36'
  • goal Hakeeb Adelakun 62'
League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Moor Lane
  • Haji Mnoga 57' yellowcard
  • Josh Austerfield 74' yellowcard
  • Jamie Jones 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 28'
  • yellowcard Harrison Neal 69'
  • goal Ben Barclay 88'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Joe Garner 77' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 85' goal
  • goal Callum Hendry 23'
  • goal Luke Bolton 28'
  • goal Luke Bolton 88'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Matt Smith 52' goal
  • goal Kristian Dennis 3'
  • goal Callum Guy 67'
  • goal Corey Whelan 72'
  • goal Kristian Dennis 80'
League Two Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Watson 52' goal
  • Matt Smith 71' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 62'
  • goal Omari Patrick 67'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 82'