League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Cheltenham 0 - 2 Salford City
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Joe Powell

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 2 Chesterfield
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Pemi Aderoju

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salford City win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw has a probability of 21.25% and a win for Crawley Town has a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.67%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Crawley Town win it is 0-1 (5.07%).

Result

Salford City 60.2% ▲ (+5.14)
Draw 21.25% ▼ (-2.02)
Crawley Town 18.54% ▼ (-3.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% ▼ (-1.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 56.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 66.71% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 20.43% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 79.57% ▼ (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Salford City 45.05% ▲ (+4.02)
Draw 38.99% ▼ (-0.65)
Crawley Town 15.96% ▼ (-3.38)

Team To Score First

Salford City 65.83% ▲ (+5.06)
No Goal 5.24% ▼ (-0.27)
Crawley Town 28.93% ▼ (-4.79)

Corners

Over 8 66.41% ▼ (-0.65)
Equal 8 10.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 23.32% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 9 55.2% ▼ (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 33.59% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 10.5 43.98% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 10.5 56.02% ▲ (+0.67)

Salford City Goals

Over 1.5 56.78% ▲ (+3.07)
Under 1.5 43.22% ▼ (-3.07)
Over 2.5 29.86% ▲ (+2.44)
Under 2.5 70.14% ▼ (-2.44)
Over 3.5 12.7% ▲ (+1.42)
Under 3.5 87.3% ▼ (-1.43)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.98% ▼ (-4.41)
Under 0.5 45.02% ▲ (+4.41)
Over 1.5 22.72% ▼ (-3.52)
Under 1.5 77.28% ▲ (+3.52)
Over 2.5 7.04% ▼ (-1.80)
Under 2.5 92.96% ▲ (+1.80)
Over 3.5 1.83% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 3.5 98.17% ▲ (+0.63)

Score analysis

Salford City 60.2%
Draw 21.26%
Crawley Town 18.55%
Salford City
1-0 @ 10.93% ▲ (+0.87)
2-1 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.28)
2-0 @ 9.83% ▲ (+1.19)
3-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+1.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 12.59% ▲ (+1.57)
Total : 60.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.85)
0-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.54)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 21.26%
Crawley Town
0-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.55)
1-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.71)
0-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.44)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.49)
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head

League Two
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Taylor Richards 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Loft 68' yellowcard
  • Max Anderson 82' yellowcard
  • Akin Odimayo 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Borini 63'
  • yellowcard Kelly N'Mai 63'
  • yellowcard Kallum Cesay 77'
  • yellowcard Alfie Dorrington 77'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 83'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 84'
League Two
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adebola Olowu 45'+1' goal
  • Matt Butcher 53' goal
  • Adebola Olowu 55' yellowcard
  • Josh Austerfield 85' goal
  • Kallum Cesay 86' goal
  • yellowcard Louie Watson 9'
  • goal Adebola Olowu 33' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kabongo Tshimanga 53'
  • goal Harry Forster 57'
  • goal Jay Williams 72'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Jay Williams 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Garbutt 13'
  • yellowcard Luke Garbutt 13'
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 37'
  • yellowcard Luke Bolton 68'
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 80'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Conor McAleny 47' goal
  • Connor McLennan 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dion Conroy 31'
  • yellowcard Scott Lindsey 32'
  • goal Luke Garbutt 40' (OG)
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 64'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 77'
  • yellowcard Harry Ransom 82'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Dom Telford 25' goal
  • Dion Conroy 34' goal
  • Teddy Jenks 59' goal
  • goal Ryan Watson 78'
  • goal Matthew Lund 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Callum Hendry 3' goal
  • R 56' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brandon Mason 19'
  • goal Tom Nichols 29'
  • yellowcard Jake Hessenthaler 34'
  • goal Ludwig Francillette 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jack Powell 90'+8'
  • yellowcard David Bremang 90'+8'