Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 5.00pm
Pärnu Rannastaadion

Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 1 Paide

Hegelmann Litauen

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 1 Paide

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paide win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Hegelmann Litauen has a probability of 28.65% and a draw has a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hegelmann Litauen win is 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.43%).

Result

Paide 48.66% (-0.11)
Draw 22.66% (-0.06)
Hegelmann Litauen 28.65% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.6% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.81% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 20.19% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 57.48% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 42.52% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 35.45% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 64.55% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 21.67% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 78.33% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Paide 40.14% (+0.14)
Draw 39.72% (-0.13)
Hegelmann Litauen 20.13% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Paide 59.74% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.15% (-0.05)
Hegelmann Litauen 35.11% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.45% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.51% (+0.02)
Under 8 26.04% (+0.03)
Over 9 52.26% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.19% (+0.02)
Under 9 36.55% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 41.3% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 58.7% (+0.09)

Paide Goals

Over 1.5 49.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.49% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 75.51% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 10.03% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.97% (-0.05)

Hegelmann Litauen Goals

Over 0.5 63.98% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 36.02% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 32.82% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 67.18% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 13.1% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.9% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.4% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.6% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Paide 48.66%
Draw 22.66%
Hegelmann Litauen 28.63%
Paide
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.9% (+0.06)
Total : 48.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.66%
Hegelmann Litauen
1-2 @ 6.52% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.27% (+0.05)
Total : 28.63%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vilius Armanavičius 45'+1' goal
  • goal Abdourahman Badamosi 37'