Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pärnu Rannastaadion
  • Pa Modou Sohna 17' goal
  • Abdourahman Badamosi 42' goal
  • Romet Nigula 44' yellowcard
  • Kristofer Piht 69' goal
  • Oskar Hoim 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Domas Slendzoka 27'
  • yellowcard V. Radonja 39'

Paide vs Hegelmann Litauen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 1 Paide

Hegelmann Litauen

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 1 Paide

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Hegelmann Litauen had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Hegelmann Litauen win was 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Paide 48.83% (+0.18)
Draw 22.63% (-0.04)
Hegelmann Litauen 28.51% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.47% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.74% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 20.26% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 57.38% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 42.62% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 35.31% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 64.69% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 21.56% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 78.44% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Paide 40.08% (-0.07)
Draw 39.72%
Hegelmann Litauen 20.19% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Paide 59.8% (+0.06)
No Goal 5.17% (+0.02)
Hegelmann Litauen 35.03% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.49% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.53% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.98% (-0.06)
Over 9 52.27% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.04)
Under 9 36.51% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.28% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 58.72% (+0.02)

Paide Goals

Over 1.5 49.75% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 50.25% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 24.5% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.98% (+0.02)

Hegelmann Litauen Goals

Over 0.5 63.82% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 36.18% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 32.64% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 67.36% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 12.97% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 87.03% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.34% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.66% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Paide 48.83%
Draw 22.63%
Hegelmann Litauen 28.5%
Paide
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.72% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.83% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 4.52% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.9%
Total : 48.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 22.63%
Hegelmann Litauen
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.22% (-0.05)
Total : 28.5%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vilius Armanavičius 45'+1' goal
  • goal Abdourahman Badamosi 37'