Conference League
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Toše Proeski Arena
  • Mislav Matic 15' yellowcard
  • Diego Castañeda 28' goal
  • Gerson Rodrigues 66' goal
  • Filip Najdovski 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baba Musah 20'
  • yellowcard Orlando Galo 21'
  • goal Orlando Galo 35'
  • goal Iago Siqueira 39'
  • yellowcard Raivis Jurkovskis 43'
  • yellowcard Salah Oulad 52'
  • goal Iago Siqueira 81'

FK Vardar vs Riga FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Vardar

All competitions

Riga FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Vardar win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Vardar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 1-2 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

FK Vardar 40.28% (-0.11)
Draw 23.83% (+0.04)
Riga FC 35.89% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.33% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.83% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.17% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.52% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 43.48% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 33.97% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 66.03% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 20.37% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.63% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

FK Vardar 28.27%
Draw 38.6% (+0.04)
Riga FC 33.13% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

FK Vardar 43.44% (-0.11)
No Goal 5.74% (+0.01)
Riga FC 50.82% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 52.62%
Equal 8 11.28% (+0.09)
Under 8 36.1% (-0.09)
Over 9 41.58% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.04% (+0.08)
Under 9 47.38%
Over 10.5 31.61% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 68.39% (+0.13)

FK Vardar Goals

Over 1.5 42.53% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.47% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.85% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.15% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 7.54% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 92.46% (+0.07)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5 69.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.56% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.65%
Under 3.5 94.35%

Score analysis

FK Vardar 40.29%
Draw 23.83%
Riga FC 35.88%
FK Vardar
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 7.86% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.35% (-0.08)
Total : 40.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.83%
Riga FC
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.87%
Other @ 5.46%
Total : 35.88%