Conference League
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
Toše Proeski Arena

FK Vardar vs Riga FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Vardar

All competitions

Riga FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FK Vardar win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Riga FC has a probability of 35.87% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Vardar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Riga FC win is 1-2 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).

Result

FK Vardar 40.38% (+0.04)
Draw 23.79%
Riga FC 35.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.91% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.09% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.61% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.39% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.03%
Under 3.5 65.97%
Over 4.5 20.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.56% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

FK Vardar 28.27%
Draw 38.57%
Riga FC 33.16%

Team To Score First

FK Vardar 43.54% (-0.26)
No Goal 5.73% (+0.02)
Riga FC 50.73% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 52.62%
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 36.19%
Over 9 41.66%
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 47.38%
Over 10.5 31.74%
Under 10.5 68.26%

FK Vardar Goals

Over 1.5 42.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.36% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 19.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.39% (-0.02)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5 69.5% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.5% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.43%
Under 1.5 61.57%
Over 2.5 16.7%
Under 2.5 83.3%
Over 3.5 5.65%
Under 3.5 94.35%

Score analysis

FK Vardar 40.39%
Draw 23.79%
Riga FC 35.87%
FK Vardar
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 7.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.42% (+0.01)
Total : 40.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.79%
Riga FC
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.87%
Other @ 5.46%
Total : 35.87%