Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Vardar win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.96% and a win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Vardar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.21%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Alashkert FC win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.