Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 10.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.94%) and 0-3 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for an Arsenal Tivat win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alashkert FC would win this match.