Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadions Daugava
  • Marvin Martins 21' redcard
  • Davis Oss 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Joseph Oloko Ede 64' goal
  • yellowcard Lazar Maras 58'

FK Liepaja vs Decic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Liepaja

All competitions

Decic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Decic had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Decic win was 0-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

FK Liepaja 48.57% (-0.26)
Draw 25.32% (+0.06)
Decic 26.08% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.91% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.52% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.54% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.46% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.18% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 83.82% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

FK Liepaja 37.27% (+1.10)
Draw 42.98% (-0.43)
Decic 19.74% (-0.68)

Team To Score First

FK Liepaja 56.38% (-0.75)
No Goal 7.67% (+0.01)
Decic 35.95% (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 56.05% (-0.40)
Equal 8 11.72% (+0.14)
Under 8 32.23% (+0.26)
Over 9 44.28% (-0.48)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.10)
Under 9 43.95% (+0.40)
Over 10.5 33.42% (-0.52)
Under 10.5 66.58% (+0.52)

FK Liepaja Goals

Over 1.5 45.3% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 54.7% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 21.07% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.93% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.17% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.83% (-0.05)

Decic Goals

Over 0.5 59.94% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.06% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.05% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 72.95% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 9.58% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 90.42% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.84% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 97.16% (-0.11)

Score analysis

FK Liepaja 48.57%
Draw 25.33%
Decic 26.08%
FK Liepaja
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.95%
Total : 48.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.22% (+0.05)
Total : 25.33%
Decic
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.34% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.62% (+0.07)
Total : 26.08%