Club Friendlies 3
Feb 27, 2026 12.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadions Daugava

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Liepaja

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 10.30am
FK Liepaja 2 - 1 FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 10.30am
FK Liepaja 2 - 1 FS Jelgava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for FS Jelgava had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest FS Jelgava win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

FK Liepaja 41.21% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 24.35% ▼ (-0.03)
FS Jelgava 34.49% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.14% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 61.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 38.99% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 41.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 58.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 25.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 74.85% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

FK Liepaja 34.34%
Draw 39.14%
FS Jelgava 26.52%

Team To Score First

FK Liepaja 51.77% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
FS Jelgava 43.31% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 24.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 54.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 34.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 43.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 56.67% ▼ (-0.05)

FK Liepaja Goals

Over 1.5 46.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 53.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 9.39%
Under 3.5 90.61%

FS Jelgava Goals

Over 0.5 70.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 18.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 81.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 7.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.81% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

FK Liepaja 41.22%
Draw 24.35%
FS Jelgava 34.49%
FK Liepaja
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.35%
FS Jelgava
1-2 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.49%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 27, 2026 10.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadions Daugava
  • 69' goal
  • 79' goal
  • goal 52'