Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Orebro win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.