Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 51%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a AIK Fotboll win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.