Club Friendlies 3
Feb 1, 2026 3.00pm
Männiku staadion

Nõmme United vs FS Jelgava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nõmme United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 12.00pm
Nõmme United 0 - 0 Tammeka

FS Jelgava

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.00pm
Panevezys 1 - 0 FS Jelgava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nõmme United win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for FS Jelgava has a probability of 26.01% and a draw has a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nõmme United win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.32%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest FS Jelgava win is 1-2 (5.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.78%).

Result

Nõmme United 56.2% (+0.05)
Draw 17.8% (-0.02)
FS Jelgava 26.01% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.24% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 10.76% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 73.8% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 26.15% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 55.61%
Under 3.5 44.39%
Over 4.5 41.28% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 58.72% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Nõmme United 48.91% (+0.30)
Draw 29.59% (-0.02)
FS Jelgava 21.51% (-0.28)

Team To Score First

Nõmme United 64.85% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.01%
FS Jelgava 32.14% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 69.49% (-0.16)
Equal 8 8.83% (+0.02)
Under 8 21.68% (+0.13)
Over 9 59.66% (-0.17)
Equal 9 9.84% (+0.02)
Under 9 30.51% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 49.48% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 50.52% (+0.18)

Nõmme United Goals

Over 1.5 63.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 36.31% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.6% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.4% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.57% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.43% (+0.02)

FS Jelgava Goals

Over 0.5 56.25% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 43.75% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.62% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.38% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 16.2% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 83.8% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.64%
Under 3.5 94.36%

Score analysis

Nõmme United 56.19%
Draw 17.8%
FS Jelgava 26.01%
Nõmme United
2-1 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.07% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 26.88% (-0.02)
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 17.8%
FS Jelgava
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 26.01%