Club Friendlies 3
Feb 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Männiku staadion
  • 45'+1' goal
  • goal 32'
  • goal 46'
  • goal 48'
  • goal 85'

Nõmme United vs FS Jelgava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nõmme United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 12.00pm
Nõmme United 0 - 6 Tammeka

FS Jelgava

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.00pm
Panevezys 2 - 0 FS Jelgava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nõmme United win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for FS Jelgava has a probability of 34.58% and a draw has a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nõmme United win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (4.79%) and 3-2 (4.35%). The likeliest FS Jelgava win is 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.18%).

Result

Nõmme United 45.45% (-10.75)
Draw 19.92% (+2.13)
FS Jelgava 34.58% (+8.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.28% (+6.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.85% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 10.15% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 74.9% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 25.1% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 54.91% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 45.09% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 39.56% (-1.72)
Under 4.5 60.44% (+1.72)

First Half Winner

Nõmme United 39.1% (-9.81)
Draw 30.8% (+1.22)
FS Jelgava 30.1% (+8.59)

Team To Score First

Nõmme United 57.97% (-6.88)
No Goal 2.55% (-0.46)
FS Jelgava 39.48% (+7.34)

Corners

Over 8 72.34% (+2.86)
Equal 8 8.6% (-0.24)
Under 8 19.06% (-2.63)
Over 9 62.54% (+2.89)
Equal 9 9.81% (-0.03)
Under 9 27.66% (-2.86)
Over 10.5 52.2% (+2.73)
Under 10.5 47.8% (-2.73)

Nõmme United Goals

Over 1.5 56.05% (-7.64)
Under 1.5 43.95% (+7.64)
Over 2.5 34.35% (-8.25)
Under 2.5 65.65% (+8.26)
Over 3.5 19.33% (-8.25)
Under 3.5 80.67% (+8.24)

FS Jelgava Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (+12.44)
Under 0.5 31.31% (-12.45)
Over 1.5 45.11% (+11.50)
Under 1.5 54.89% (-11.49)
Over 2.5 23.86% (+7.66)
Under 2.5 76.14% (-7.66)
Over 3.5 10.29% (+4.65)
Under 3.5 89.71% (-4.66)

Score analysis

Nõmme United 45.45%
Draw 19.92%
FS Jelgava 34.57%
Nõmme United
2-1 @ 7.61% (+0.77)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 4.35% (+1.07)
2-0 @ 3.85% (-1.44)
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.54)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-1.40)
Other @ 18.2% (-8.68)
Total : 45.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.18% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 6.29% (+0.89)
3-3 @ 2.77% (+0.86)
0-0 @ 2.55% (-0.46)
Other @ 1.13% (+0.44)
Total : 19.92%
FS Jelgava
1-2 @ 6.69% (+1.33)
1-3 @ 4.27% (+0.65)
0-1 @ 4% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 3.95% (+0.40)
0-2 @ 3.92% (+0.55)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+1.13)
Other @ 9.16% (+4.21)
Total : 34.57%