Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nõmme United win with a probability of 75.15%. A win for Tammeka had a probability of 12.49% and a draw had a probability of 12.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nõmme United win was 3-0 with a probability of 5.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (5.76%) and 3-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Tammeka win was 1-2 (2.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.