Club Friendlies 3
Feb 27, 2026 10.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadions Daugava
  • 69' goal
  • 79' goal
  • goal 52'

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Liepaja

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 2.00pm
FK Liepaja 0 - 3 Orebro

FS Jelgava

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
FA Siauliai 1 - 0 FS Jelgava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for FS Jelgava had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest FS Jelgava win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

FK Liepaja 41.14%
Draw 24.35% (+0.02)
FS Jelgava 34.51% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.54% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.46% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 61.01% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 41.1%
Under 3.5 58.9%
Over 4.5 25.18%
Under 4.5 74.82%

First Half Winner

FK Liepaja 34.34%
Draw 39.14%
FS Jelgava 26.52%

Team To Score First

FK Liepaja 51.78% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.9% (-0.01)
FS Jelgava 43.32%

Corners

Over 8 65.61%
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 24.08%
Over 9 54.44%
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 34.39%
Over 10.5 43.32%
Under 10.5 56.68%

FK Liepaja Goals

Over 1.5 46.78% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.22% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.4%
Under 3.5 90.6%

FS Jelgava Goals

Over 0.5 70.89% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.11% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.98% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.02% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.57% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 81.43% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.2%
Under 3.5 92.8%

Score analysis

FK Liepaja 41.14%
Draw 24.35%
FS Jelgava 34.51%
FK Liepaja
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.86%
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.35%
FS Jelgava
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.66%
Total : 34.51%