Conference League Gameweek 3
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
MCH Arena

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Ajax

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for FC Midtjylland has a probability of 31.99% and a draw has a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win is 2-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.9%).

Result

FC Midtjylland 31.99% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 23.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Ajax 44.72% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.32% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.05% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 16.95% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 62.9% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 37.1% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 41.15% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 58.85% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 4.5 25.74% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 74.26% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

FC Midtjylland 30.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 35.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Ajax 33.71% ▲ (+0.15)

Team To Score First

FC Midtjylland 46.62% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 4.16% ▼ (-0.10)
Ajax 49.22% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.13% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 10.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 29.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 49.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 39.87% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 38.55% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 61.45% ▲ (+0.20)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 1.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 17.23% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 82.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 6.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 93.54% ▼ (-0.11)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 77.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 49.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 25.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 74.63% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 10.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.11% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 31.98%
Draw 23.29%
Ajax 44.72%
FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 31.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 23.29%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 10.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 44.72%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 25, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • David Neres 40' yellowcard
  • Ryan Gravenberch 47' goal
  • Noussair Mazraoui 49' goal
  • David Neres 66' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Madsen 43'
  • goal Awer Mabil 80'
  • redcard Erik Sviatchenko 90'+1'
Champions League
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MCH Arena
  • Anders Dreyer 18' goal
  • Lasse Vibe 84' yellowcard
  • goal Antony 1'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 13'
  • yellowcard Perr Schuurs 25'