Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 30, 2026 5.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Relebohile Mofokeng 19'
  • yellowcard Olwethu Makhanya 33'
  • goal Relebohile Mofokeng 45'+1'
  • goal Yaya Sithole 52'
  • goal Iqraam Rayners 63'
  • goal Luther Singh 90'+4'

Eritrea vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Eritrea

All competitions

South Africa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.22% and a win for Eritrea had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.27%) and 0-3 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.63%) , while for a Eritrea win it was 1-0 (5.56%).

Result

Eritrea 10.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 20.22% ▲ (+0.08)
South Africa 69.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.68% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.7% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 32.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 40.87% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 59.13% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 20.72% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 79.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 14.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.7% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Eritrea 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 40.86% ▲ (+0.01)
South Africa 51.84%

Team To Score First

Eritrea 16.51% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 9.63% ▲ (+0.07)
South Africa 73.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.76% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 32.91% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 9 44.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 44.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 33.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Eritrea Goals

Over 1.5 7.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 92.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 99.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 99.98% ▲ (+0.02)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 82.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 17.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 53.61% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 46.39% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 28.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 71.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 12.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 87.4% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Eritrea 10.39%
Draw 20.24%
South Africa 69.37%
Eritrea
1-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 10.39%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.07)
1-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.24%
South Africa
0-1 @ 17.11% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 15.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 69.37%