Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
Groningen

Namli (44'), Mbayo (68')
El Azzouzi (64'), Thomas (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Ajax
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Groningen
40.16% ( -0.89)	24.65% ( 0.41)	35.19% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 58.82% (

-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.8% (

-1.83)

44.2% (

1.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.43% (

-1.81)

66.58% (

1.81)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01% (

-1.21)

21.99% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

-1.87)

55.3% (

1.87)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

-0.58)

24.59% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92% (

-0.82)

59.08% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 40.16%

Groningen 35.19%

Draw 24.64%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.19%