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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.35% | 20.39% | 58.25% |
Both teams to score 62.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.07% | 33.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.21% | 55.79% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% | 28.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% | 64.69% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% | 11.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.52% | 36.47% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.56% 1-0 @ 4.14% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.35% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.75% 0-4 @ 3.01% 2-4 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.62% 0-5 @ 1.3% 2-5 @ 1.01% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |