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England national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Albania national football team

England
5 - 0
Albania

Maguire (9'), Kane (18', 33', 45+2'), Henderson (28')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Gjasula (9'), Cikalleshi (21'), Ismajli (25'), Laci (68')

Preview: England vs. Albania - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between England and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With World Cup 2022 qualification yet to be assured, England kick off their November fixtures with the visit of Albania to Wembley on Friday.

Gareth Southgate's men currently hold a three-point lead atop the rankings, while their visitors are still in with a shot of a top-two finish as they occupy third place.


Match preview

England manager Gareth Southgate pictured in October 2021© Reuters

The despicable actions of a section of the away crowd marred England's battle with Hungary in the capital, but on the pitch, the Three Lions struggled to assert their dominance and were forced to settle for a point in a 1-1 stalemate.

Roland Sallai's penalty saw Hungary take a shock lead at Wembley before John Stones restored parity before the break, and there was no way through for Southgate's side in the second 45 minutes during a frustrating display for the home crowd.

A comprehensive 5-0 thrashing of Andorra preceded their one-pointer with Hungary, but with Poland winning both of their games last month, England still have work to do to assure themselves of a spot in Qatar as they find themselves three points clear at the top with two games remaining.

Poland will be expected to sweep aside Andorra in their next fixture, but an England victory at Wembley would all but guarantee their first-placed finish, and failing that, the trip to minnows San Marino would surely do it for the Euro 2020 finalists.

Not since a 1-0 defeat to Germany in October 2000 have England suffered a home defeat in World Cup Qualifying - which also represents the last time they failed to score at home in this stage - but their upcoming opponents are not to be taken lightly.

Albania coach Edoardo Reja pictured on March 28, 2021© Reuters

Edoardo Reja's Albania continue to defy expectation in Group I and are still in with a shot of booking their plane tickets to next year's tournament, but their hopes of a first-ever World Cup Finals appearance were dealt a blow last time out against Poland.

After recording their third victory and third clean sheet of Qualifying on the bounce against Hungary, Albania went down to Karol Swiderski's strike in a 1-0 success for Poland, which saw Roja's men drop below their counterparts in the standings.

The Red and Blacks remain in third place and are only two points adrift of Poland, though, so Reja will be praying for already-eliminated Andorra to do them the unlikeliest of favours as they attempt to strut their stuff on the Wembley soil.

Reja's side should have no trouble putting Andorra to the sword at home in their final game of Qualifying, but defeat for them here coupled with a Poland win against Andorra would kill off any hopes of their magical journey ending with an appearance at the World Cup Finals.

Goals from Harry Kane and Mason Mount propelled England to a 2-0 win on Albanian soil back in March, and the Three Lions boast a perfect record of five wins from five in this fixture, scoring 14 goals and conceding just one in that span.

England World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

England form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Albania World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Albania form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Emile Smith Rowe celebrates scoring for Arsenal against Watford on November 7, 2021© Reuters

England have seen Declan Rice, Marcus Rashford and James Ward-Prowse withdraw from the squad in recent days, while Mount (dental) and Luke Shaw (concussion) will not make the cut for this game either.

Rashford's withdrawal has seen Emile Smith Rowe handed a deserved first call-up to the national team, but Southgate will rely on his best XI this week before some expected rotation in San Marino.

The return of Kalvin Phillips will allow Southgate to partner the Leeds United man with Jordan Henderson, as Phil Foden earns a start while Mount recovers from dental surgery.

Meanwhile, Albania will be boosted by the return of midfielder Endri Cekici from suspension, but the 24-year-old will have a hard time forcing his way back into the engine room.

Atalanta BC defender Berat Djimsiti suffered a forearm fracture on international duty last month and is not available for the visitors here, but Armando Broja has returned to fitness.

The Chelsea man has come up with some crucial goals as a substitute for his nation in World Cup Qualifying, and Reja has so far been reluctant to field him from the first whistle, but the 20-year-old could feature from the off here with Rey Manaj not in the squad.

England possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Walker, Stones, Maguire, Chilwell; Henderson, Phillips; Sterling, Foden, Grealish; Kane

Albania possible starting lineup:
Berisha; Ismajli, Kumbulla, Veseli; Hysaj, Ramadani, Bare, Trashi; Bajrami; Cikalleshi, Broja


SM words green background

We say: England 2-0 Albania

Reja and Albania command plenty of respect for the way they have conducted themselves in World Cup Qualifying, and the visitors will still be daring to dream as they step foot onto the Wembley turf.

England are under pressure to respond following their disappointing showing against Hungary, but their record in this fixture speaks for itself, and Southgate's side should take a giant leap towards qualification with all three points here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Albania had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: England vs Albania

England
85.3%
Draw
7.1%
Albania
7.6%
197
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