England vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.56% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.