Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.23% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Aalesund win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.