Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.27% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Aalesund win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.